Montgomery County 3rd Qtr. Housing Update

The theme for housing in Montgomery County remain consistent. Supply is down and houses are selling faster and for more. Weather could be a factor as we head into the slowest months of the year for real estate transactions, but signs are pointing toward a robust Spring market.

Comparison to last year

Through the 3rd quarter of 2017, the supply of homes coming to market continues to be sluggish across Montgomery County, down by 164 year-over-year, continuing a trend we have seen for a couple of years now. As a result, we are seeing homes sell quicker and sell for more than last year. The average sales price is up by nearly $6k, and the average number of days on market is down by about 4 days. Clearly, the market has shifted to being more seller-friendly, but there is still considerable value to be found for buyers.

Prediction for Montgomery County 4th Quarter 2017 Housing Market

Winter tends to be the slowest time of the year for home sales. This phenomenon tends to be exacerbated when bad weather is involved, and heavier than average snow totals are what our local meteorologists are predicting. All of these factors lead me to believe that the 4th quarter of 2017 will be even more of the same. The seasonal winter slowdown, compounded by continued lack of inventory should keep prices up and days on market low, and prepare us for a healthy Spring housing market..

Want to know how your area compares? Check out the most popular cities in Montgomery County.

Potomac 3rd Qtr. 2016 3rd Qtr. 2017
Number of Homes Sold 183 160
Average Days on Market 72 67
Average Sold Price $1,004,929 $1,015,322

Homes in Potomac are sitting on the market longer than the D.C. regional average of 48 days2 and have increased a bit from Quarter 2. Given the average sales price of over $1 million and the current home market is leaning towards a more urban communities it is expected that home sales are a bit sluggish in this area.

Gaithersburg 3rd Qtr. 2016 3rd Qtr. 2017
Number of Homes Sold 432 456
Average Days on Market 45 39
Average Sold Price $429,439 $433,686

Homes in the 20879 zip code have seen a 10.2% increase in average sales since last year. Hyde Park, Goshen Village, and Meadowvale subdivisions showing the highest increases.

Rockville 3rd Qtr. 2016 3rd Qtr. 2017
Number of Homes Sold 452 433
Average Days on Market 40 42
Average Sold Price $484,032 $478,400

Rockville average sold price continues to remain steady with very small increase of 1.5% since last year. Zip code 20851 has seen the strongest increase of 6% since last year with Rockland and Twinbrook subdivisions having the largest increases.

Germantown 3rd Qtr. 2016 3rd Qtr. 2017
Number of Homes Sold 335 335
Average Days on Market 43 37
Average Sold Price $305,161 $328,236

Germantown continues to be a hot market. Not only did the number of homes stay the same as compared to last year but the number of Days on Market decrease while the Average Sold Price increased over $13k. The subdivisions of Spring Meadows and Blunt Commons are leading the average sold price in all the Germantown zip codes.

I’d love to hear your thoughts about what may be affecting the Montgomery County Housing Market.  Don’t see your city listed? Contact me to discuss your neighborhood.


All data pulled from MarketStats by ShowingTime

 

Montgomery County 2nd Qtr. Housing Update

Montgomery County continues to be one of the strongest housing markets in the D.C. Metro area. After a sluggish start in the first quarter of 2017, the housing market rebounded as a shortage of homes for sale drove prices up and the number of days homes stay on the market (Days On Market) down.

Comparison to last year

Despite the uptick in home sales for Quarter 2, the number of homes sales year-to-date in 2017 are down to 3,954, as compared to 4,058 homes in the same period of 2016. However, the average sold price increased to $545,547 from $529,048 last year. Additionally, days on market decreased to 39 days, from 47 days last year. This was primarily due to fewer homes on the market (5,576) compared to last year’s 2nd Quarter (5,943).

 

 Here are the most popular cities in Montgomery County compares:

Potomac 2nd Qtr. 2016 2nd Qtr. 2017
Number of Homes Sold 230 200
Average Days on Market 67 65
Average Sold Price $1,019,793 $1,052,455

Potomac, MD home sales have started to rebound since the crash of 2009. Homes here are sitting on the market longer than the D.C. regional average of 44 days, but this is to be expected, given the average sales price of over $1 million.

Gaithersburg 2nd Qtr. 2016 2nd Qtr. 2017
Number of Homes Sold 533 516
Average Days on Market 51 33
Average Sold Price $434.487 $452,141

New Homes Developments in Gaithersburg, MD have been a good boost to home prices in the area. New Construction sites include Downtown Crown and Parklands. Homes in Downtown Crown include condos, townhomes, and single family. This area has become a new focal point in the area, with its vibrant restaurant and event scene. Homes in Parklands include townhomes and single family homes.

Rockville 2nd Qtr. 2016 2nd Qtr. 2017
Number of Homes Sold 514 523
Average Days on Market 37 33
Average Sold Price $495,313 $506,288

Rockville has seen an increase in the number of homes sold and a drop in the average days on market. This should be no surprise with the convenience of Metro, new development in King Farm and Westside at Shady Grove, and the bustling Rockville Town Center.

Germantown 2nd Qtr. 2016 2nd Qtr. 2017
Number of Homes Sold 397 359
Average Days on Market 48 33
Average Sold Price $326,107 $323,740

Germantown continues to be an economical area to purchase a home, and is a great place to consider buying if you’re looking for a little bang for your buck. It has slumped a bit this Quarter, but that means great deals can be found. While Germantown’s number of homes sold and the Average Sold Price is down modestly, the market here is primed for opportunistic buyers and sellers.

Bethesda 2nd Qtr. 2016 2nd Qtr. 2017
Number of Homes Sold 396 410
Average Days on Market 47 52
Average Sold Price $1,003,848 $974,732

Last year’s Quarter 2 Average Sold Price seems to be an anomaly at $1,003,848. In the last 10 years, no Quarter reached over $1M. This can likely be attributed to the types of homes that were selling last year, including high-end developments like Pike & Rose. Bethesda is constantly reinventing itself with teardowns, new developments and a wealth of shopping and upscale urban living amenities. Bethesda continues to be a prime location for local residents, and that’s a trend we won’t soon see reversed.

Takoma Park 2nd Qtr. 2016 2nd Qtr. 2017
Number of Homes Sold 63 65
Average Days on Market 36 41
Average Sold Price $505,402 $482,948

Data doesn’t lie, but I’d say the data on Takoma Park is a little misleading. Takoma Park has historically been a bit of a mixed bag as it relates to real estate, but it has been evolving rapidly over the past several years. Locals love the vibrant arts scene, diverse and “earthy” culture, small town feel, and all so near to Downtown. Not only is Takoma Park emerging as one of the coolest places for young families and first-time buyers to call home, but its affordability makes it attractive to investors and value shoppers, as well.

Silver Spring 2nd Qtr. 2016 2nd Qtr. 2017
Number of Homes Sold 981 958
Average Days on Market 40 32
Average Sold Price $386,124 $408,465

Silver Spring’s central location, with easy access to both D.C. and Baltimore, is a primary reason this area has consistently been a popular place to call home. The rejuvenation efforts that began several years ago have completely transformed Downtown Silver Spring and attracted some large corporations. Quality of life, great location, and good jobs means Silver Spring will continue to be an appealing neighborhood for Maryland residents.

Prediction for Montgomery County 3rd Quarter 2017 Housing Market

During the summer months housing sales typically slow down as many people are on vacation. Summer vacation season means there’s less homes on the market and fewer people to view those homes. However, as school approaches the market usually sees a bump in sales as families are planning moves right before school starts. This Autumn bump tends to be smaller than Spring. My prediction for Quarter 3 will be for real estate markets to remain true to these seasonal trends due to the shortage of homes on the market. I believe the total of number of homes sold will be less than last year, and as we’ve already seen this year, home sale prices will continue to increase and days on market will decrease or remain steady.

I’d love to hear your thoughts about what may be affecting the Montgomery County Housing Market.  Don’t see your city listed? Contact me to discuss your neighborhood.